Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Stastny 54.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 52.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 66.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Horvat
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Horvat
Stastny
Last 9: Horvat 6-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Horvat
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
54.8% (1,130)
-1.7%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
59.1% (235)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
49.3% (150)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Horvat
Stastny
Home
53.0% (673)
55.5% (803)
Away
54.5% (651)
54.2% (712)
By Period
Horvat
Stastny
P1
51.9%
57.4%
P2
54.8%
52.5%
P3
54.3%
54.3%
OT
58.3%
69.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 18:07 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |