Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Rakell 44.8% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rakell 85.5%
Defensive zone
Rakell 53.4%
Neutral zone
Rakell 71.5%
Result
Rickard Rakell favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Horvat
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Rakell
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
0
2
Horvat
Rakell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Rakell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
3
Horvat
Rakell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
43.7% (423)
+9.0%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
45.5% (22)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
33.3% (6)
+6.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Horvat is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (561).
Horvat shoots left. Rakell is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rakell
Home
53.1% (723)
46.1% (180)
Away
48.8% (770)
42.1% (271)
By Period
Horvat
Rakell
P1
51.1%
47.7%
P2
52.6%
37.6%
P3
48.8%
46.0%
OT
57.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Jan 1, 2016 | OT | 00:52 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |