Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Kalinin 44.5% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 89.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 73.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Horvat
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Kalinin
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Kalinin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
41.3% (155)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
100.0% (1)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
38.9% (18)
+6.0%
On power play, Kalinin has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Kalinin is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kalinin
Home
52.0% (767)
42.9% (112)
Away
48.8% (731)
38.7% (62)
By Period
Horvat
Kalinin
P1
47.1%
51.8%
P2
49.4%
32.1%
P3
54.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:44 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 6, 2016 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |