Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Pinto 50.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 68.1%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 60.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Horvat
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Horvat
Pinto
Last 7: Horvat 3-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Horvat
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
50.2% (520)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
68.0% (25)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
49.4% (89)
-2.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Horvat is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Horvat shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Horvat
Pinto
Home
58.2% (469)
48.8% (301)
Away
54.0% (544)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Horvat
Pinto
P1
59.6%
51.2%
P2
53.1%
48.9%
P3
55.5%
53.3%
OT
55.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |