Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.2%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Plekanec 51.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 54.9%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 71.6%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 60.3%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Horvat
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Horvat
Plekanec
Last 6: Horvat 5-1 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
0
Horvat
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
Horvat
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
53.8% (1,081)
-3.8%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
48.6% (70)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
37.8% (201)
+7.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Plekanec is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Horvat
Plekanec
Home
52.0% (767)
52.3% (725)
Away
48.8% (731)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Horvat
Plekanec
P1
47.1%
54.6%
P2
49.4%
51.3%
P3
54.3%
47.9%
OT
57.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:32 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 01:08 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |