Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.5%). Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 19 meetings). Horvat wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 25-19 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 56.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.5%
Neutral zone
Bozak 52.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Horvat
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
19
(44 meetings)
25
19
Horvat
Bozak
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
9
Horvat
Bozak
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
12
7
Horvat
Bozak
19 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,417)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.2%
Power Play
61.1% (2,637)
55.2% (1,990)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (1,476)
48.0% (1,094)
-1.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Horvat is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (5,956).
Horvat shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bozak
Home
56.0% (8,277)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.9% (8,254)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Horvat
Bozak
P1
54.1%
53.2%
P2
54.4%
52.8%
P3
54.9%
54.5%
OT
50.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
54.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 05:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | OT | 02:46 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | OT | 01:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 1 | 05:02 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |