Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.3%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Bozak 53.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 51.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 53.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.9%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Horvat
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Horvat
Bozak
Last 6: Horvat 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
55.4% (719)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
45.1% (51)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
50.0% (60)
+0.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Horvat is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (723).
Horvat shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bozak
Home
57.2% (987)
55.5% (443)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Horvat
Bozak
P1
53.9%
53.3%
P2
53.7%
54.7%
P3
53.6%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |