Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 49.8%). Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.4% vs Rask 49.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 56.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 72.1%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Horvat
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Rask
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Horvat
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Horvat
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (1,163)
48.7% (809)
+1.3%
Power Play
60.5% (157)
60.0% (90)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (178)
47.4% (19)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Horvat shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Horvat
Rask
Home
52.0% (767)
51.4% (420)
Away
48.8% (731)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Horvat
Rask
P1
47.1%
49.1%
P2
49.4%
50.2%
P3
54.3%
50.3%
OT
57.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Victor Rask |