Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.8%). Look for Lecavalier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 50.8% vs Lecavalier 50.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 63.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 70.9%
Neutral zone
Horvat 57.8%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Horvat
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Horvat
Lecavalier
Last 8: Horvat 3-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
2
4
Horvat
Lecavalier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Lecavalier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,079)
49.1% (489)
+3.6%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
59.3% (59)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (279)
59.5% (37)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Horvat is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (932).
Horvat shoots left. Lecavalier is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Home / Away
Horvat
Lecavalier
Home
53.1% (723)
52.4% (317)
Away
48.8% (770)
48.9% (268)
By Period
Horvat
Lecavalier
P1
51.1%
54.5%
P2
52.6%
49.0%
P3
48.8%
48.7%
OT
57.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.9%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |