Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Horvat wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Horvat leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 83.0%
Defensive zone
Horvat 60.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 71.7%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Horvat
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Horvat
Smith
Last 10: Horvat 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Horvat
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
5
Horvat
Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
3
Horvat
Smith
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,606)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.3%
Power Play
61.0% (2,699)
51.2% (342)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,494)
45.3% (985)
+1.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Horvat is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,714).
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Horvat
Smith
Home
56.0% (8,355)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Horvat
Smith
P1
54.1%
49.9%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
55.0%
51.9%
OT
49.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
54.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:48 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |