Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 51.3% vs Smith 46.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 51.6%
Defensive zone
Horvat 51.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 52.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Horvat
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Horvat
Smith
Last 6: Horvat 3-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Horvat
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
3
1
Horvat
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (743)
44.7% (190)
+7.4%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
40.0% (10)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
45.2% (31)
-0.3%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Horvat is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Horvat
Smith
Home
53.1% (420)
46.8% (111)
Away
49.8% (428)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Horvat
Smith
P1
52.4%
44.6%
P2
49.3%
43.6%
P3
52.8%
46.2%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
51.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 02:22 | Offensive | Zack Smith |