Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Smith 48.2% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 90.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 78.6%
Neutral zone
Horvat 81.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Horvat
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Horvat
Smith
Last 7: Horvat 7-0 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
0
Horvat
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
49.7% (485)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
46.8% (47)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
38.6% (88)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Horvat
Smith
Home
53.0% (673)
48.7% (310)
Away
54.5% (651)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Horvat
Smith
P1
51.9%
45.8%
P2
54.8%
47.4%
P3
54.3%
50.5%
OT
58.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |