Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vermette on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Vermette wins 60.8% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.2% vs Ryan 42.9% (+15.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vermette 90.9%
Defensive zone
Vermette 95.2%
Neutral zone
Vermette 92.2%
Result
Antoine Vermette favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Vermette
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Vermette
Ryan
Last 7: Vermette 6-1 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vermette
1
0
Vermette
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Vermette
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vermette
5
0
Vermette
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,107)
41.3% (160)
+14.3%
Power Play
55.4% (278)
39.5% (38)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
26.7% (15)
+28.7%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Vermette is 60.8% vs right-shot opponents (482).
Vermette shoots left. Ryan is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Vermette
Ryan
Home
55.8% (749)
38.4% (138)
Away
55.4% (791)
42.0% (81)
By Period
Vermette
Ryan
P1
54.9%
33.7%
P2
59.2%
40.3%
P3
52.5%
49.2%
OT
55.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
32.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.6%
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |