Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Kelly 50.1% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 80.8%
Defensive zone
Kelly 80.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 51.9%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Ryan
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ryan
Kelly
Last 6: Ryan 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Kelly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Kelly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
2
Ryan
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
51.1% (3,010)
-13.0%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
60.6% (71)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
44.7% (689)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Kelly has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Home / Away
Ryan
Kelly
Home
38.3% (287)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
36.4% (195)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Ryan
Kelly
P1
34.2%
49.2%
P2
39.7%
49.1%
P3
38.6%
51.9%
OT
55.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2011 | OT | 01:53 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |