Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Brassard 49.1% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.3%
Defensive zone
Brassard 62.4%
Neutral zone
Brassard 54.4%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Ryan
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ryan
Brassard
Last 6: Ryan 3-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
2
Ryan
Brassard
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
48.7% (8,464)
-10.6%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
52.3% (1,260)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
50.3% (179)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Brassard is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,414).
Home / Away
Ryan
Brassard
Home
38.3% (287)
50.6% (5,020)
Away
36.4% (195)
47.6% (4,901)
By Period
Ryan
Brassard
P1
34.2%
49.0%
P2
39.7%
49.8%
P3
38.6%
48.4%
OT
55.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
35.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |