Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 42.9% vs Brassard 47.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.3%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Ryan
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Ryan
Brassard
Last 5: Ryan 2-3 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Brassard
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Brassard
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
0
2
Ryan
Brassard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (160)
45.2% (739)
-3.9%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
54.6% (130)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
55.6% (9)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Ryan is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Ryan shoots right. Brassard is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Ryan
Brassard
Home
38.4% (138)
47.9% (447)
Away
42.0% (81)
45.4% (441)
By Period
Ryan
Brassard
P1
33.7%
48.7%
P2
40.3%
44.3%
P3
49.2%
47.2%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
32.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
39.7%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 19, 2010 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |