Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Thornton 54.3% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 83.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 86.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 90.0%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Ryan
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Ryan
Thornton
Last 10: Ryan 2-8 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Thornton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
9
Ryan
Thornton
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
53.5% (6,640)
-15.4%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
57.2% (1,387)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
56.7% (427)
-35.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +35.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Ryan
Thornton
Home
38.3% (287)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
36.4% (195)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Ryan
Thornton
P1
34.2%
55.0%
P2
39.7%
53.3%
P3
38.6%
54.4%
OT
55.6%
56.4%
Final 5 min
35.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2013 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |