Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Berglund 48.7% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Berglund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 77.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 57.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 55.9%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Ryan
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Ryan
Berglund
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Berglund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
6
Ryan
Berglund
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
49.0% (4,697)
-10.9%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
51.3% (548)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
43.2% (461)
-21.8%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Berglund is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,046).
Home / Away
Ryan
Berglund
Home
38.3% (287)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
36.4% (195)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Ryan
Berglund
P1
34.2%
49.3%
P2
39.7%
48.2%
P3
38.6%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
39.7%
Final 5 min
35.3%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bobby Ryan |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 12, 2011 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |