Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 39.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 76.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 60.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 79.4%
Result
Bobby Ryan favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Ryan
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Ryan
Stastny
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Ryan
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Ryan
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
38.1% (386)
54.6% (10,616)
-16.5%
Power Play
41.9% (62)
59.1% (1,994)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (28)
52.9% (1,119)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Ryan is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Ryan shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Ryan
Stastny
Home
38.3% (287)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
36.4% (195)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Ryan
Stastny
P1
34.2%
56.3%
P2
39.7%
55.4%
P3
38.6%
53.5%
OT
55.6%
62.9%
Final 5 min
35.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
36.0%▼
38.0%
37.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 12, 2012 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 28, 2011 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Bobby Ryan |