Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nieves wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gauthier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 42.2% vs Gauthier 53.0% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 67.2%
Defensive zone
Nieves 50.0%
Neutral zone
Nieves 64.3%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Nieves
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nieves
Gauthier
Last 7: Nieves 2-5 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
1
0
Nieves
Gauthier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
2
Nieves
Gauthier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gauthier
1
3
Nieves
Gauthier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (220)
53.3% (420)
-14.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.0% (8)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
63.2% (19)
-29.9%
On power play, Gauthier has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Nieves is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Nieves shoots left. Gauthier is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Nieves
Gauthier
Home
44.1% (118)
54.4% (237)
Away
33.0% (109)
52.9% (210)
By Period
Nieves
Gauthier
P1
41.7%
53.2%
P2
35.4%
57.8%
P3
39.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
33.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
38.8%
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:15 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:45 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 01:43 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |