Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nieves wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs McKegg 49.2% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 61.4%
Defensive zone
Nieves 66.5%
Neutral zone
Nieves 63.9%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Nieves
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nieves
McKegg
Last 6: Nieves 1-5 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Nieves
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Nieves
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
3
Nieves
McKegg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
49.1% (1,143)
-6.0%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.0% (24)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
48.8% (86)
-34.5%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Nieves is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Nieves shoots left. McKegg is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Nieves
McKegg
Home
48.3% (230)
50.4% (554)
Away
37.1% (245)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Nieves
McKegg
P1
41.1%
48.7%
P2
44.6%
49.9%
P3
41.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
41.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |