Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nieves wins 38.8% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 42.2% vs McKegg 50.8% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 71.3%
Defensive zone
Nieves 65.6%
Neutral zone
Nieves 66.5%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Nieves
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Nieves
McKegg
Last 6: Nieves 1-5 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Nieves
McKegg
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
0
1
Nieves
McKegg
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
3
Nieves
McKegg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (220)
51.6% (281)
-12.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Nieves has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Nieves is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Nieves shoots left. McKegg is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Nieves
McKegg
Home
44.1% (118)
51.1% (133)
Away
33.0% (109)
51.0% (153)
By Period
Nieves
McKegg
P1
41.7%
48.9%
P2
35.4%
48.9%
P3
39.7%
54.9%
Final 5 min
33.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
38.8%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:24 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Feb 8, 2019 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |