Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 43.8% vs McCarron 52.7% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 87.4%
Defensive zone
Nieves 74.7%
Neutral zone
Nieves 75.1%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Nieves
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nieves
McCarron
Last 5: Nieves 0-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Nieves
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Nieves
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Nieves
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (457)
53.4% (2,901)
-10.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
45.3% (86)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (14)
50.5% (463)
-36.2%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Nieves is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Nieves shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Nieves
McCarron
Home
48.3% (230)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
37.1% (245)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Nieves
McCarron
P1
41.1%
53.9%
P2
44.6%
52.5%
P3
41.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
41.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
42.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |