Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 42.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 46.1% vs McCarron 49.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nieves 64.9%
Defensive zone
Nieves 64.7%
Neutral zone
Nieves 61.9%
Result
Boo Nieves favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Nieves
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Nieves
McCarron
Last 5: Nieves 0-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Nieves
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Nieves
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Nieves
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (208)
48.8% (121)
-3.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On power play, Nieves has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Nieves is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Nieves shoots left. McCarron is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Nieves
McCarron
Home
51.0% (100)
51.7% (60)
Away
38.7% (119)
46.0% (63)
By Period
Nieves
McCarron
P1
40.5%
50.0%
P2
50.6%
40.9%
P3
40.7%
56.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |