Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nieves on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nieves wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nieves 46.1% vs Crosby 52.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.2%
Defensive zone
Nieves 69.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Nieves
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Nieves
Crosby
Last 8: Nieves 4-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Nieves
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nieves
3
0
Nieves
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Nieves
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nieves
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (208)
52.5% (1,479)
-7.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
55.7% (397)
+44.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
47.5% (59)
-47.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +47.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nieves is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (146).
Nieves shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Nieves
Crosby
Home
51.0% (100)
54.9% (993)
Away
38.7% (119)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Nieves
Crosby
P1
40.5%
52.2%
P2
50.6%
53.2%
P3
40.7%
53.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nieves
50.0%▲
40.5%
44.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | 2 | 12:37 | Neutral | Boo Nieves |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Boo Nieves |