Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richardson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richardson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Richardson 48.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.0%
Defensive zone
Richardson 66.4%
Neutral zone
Richardson 55.4%
Result
Brad Richardson favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Jenner
Richardson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jenner
Richardson
Last 6: Jenner 2-4 Richardson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Richardson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richardson
0
3
Jenner
Richardson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Richardson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Richardson
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
49.4% (437)
-0.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
42.9% (7)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
42.5% (134)
+5.8%
On power play, Jenner has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richardson shoots left. Jenner is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jenner shoots left. Richardson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (367).
Home / Away
Jenner
Richardson
Home
55.8% (138)
45.9% (270)
Away
44.0% (168)
49.4% (308)
By Period
Jenner
Richardson
P1
53.8%
45.9%
P2
47.2%
46.5%
P3
48.0%
51.3%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |