Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Boyle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Boyle 50.7% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 73.0%
Defensive zone
Boyle 76.5%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.5%
Result
Brian Boyle favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Jenner
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Boyle
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Boyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Jenner
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Boyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
53.4% (641)
-4.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
47.6% (21)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
44.4% (243)
+3.9%
On even strength, Boyle has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Jenner is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jenner shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Jenner
Boyle
Home
55.8% (138)
51.8% (427)
Away
44.0% (168)
50.0% (478)
By Period
Jenner
Boyle
P1
53.8%
50.7%
P2
47.2%
52.7%
P3
48.0%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |