Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Rowney shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Rowney 49.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Rowney leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 50.5%
Defensive zone
Rowney 67.6%
Neutral zone
Rowney 54.6%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Jenner
Rowney
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Jenner
Rowney
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Rowney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
4
3
Jenner
Rowney
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
2
5
Jenner
Rowney
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Rowney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rowney
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
49.4% (924)
+5.1%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
40.0% (5)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
48.6% (208)
-0.2%
On power play, Jenner has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rowney shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Rowney is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (791).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rowney
Home
54.5% (4,051)
50.4% (577)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
47.9% (560)
By Period
Jenner
Rowney
P1
53.7%
50.1%
P2
53.5%
47.9%
P3
54.4%
49.3%
OT
54.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:02 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:45 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |