Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.1%). Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Jokinen 54.0% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 60.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 64.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 50.5%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Jenner
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jenner
Jokinen
Last 6: Jenner 2-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
3
Jenner
Jokinen
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Jenner
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
53.8% (1,931)
+0.7%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
55.9% (506)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
54.5% (279)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Home / Away
Jenner
Jokinen
Home
54.5% (4,051)
57.8% (1,369)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
50.4% (1,357)
By Period
Jenner
Jokinen
P1
53.7%
53.4%
P2
53.5%
54.4%
P3
54.4%
53.7%
OT
54.5%
66.1%
Final 5 min
52.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |