Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 51.1% vs Jankowski 53.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 53.9%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 56.7%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 52.8%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Jenner
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jenner
Jankowski
Last 7: Jenner 6-1 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Jenner
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Jankowski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (219)
53.8% (515)
-2.7%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
41.7% (12)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
57.9% (38)
-1.6%
On power play, Jenner has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Jenner is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Jenner shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Jenner
Jankowski
Home
51.0% (143)
53.9% (310)
Away
52.2% (115)
53.7% (255)
By Period
Jenner
Jankowski
P1
53.6%
54.4%
P2
43.0%
55.7%
P3
56.8%
51.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
58.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |