Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 49.7%). Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Foligno 49.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 68.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 68.4%
Neutral zone
Jenner 52.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Jenner
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Jenner
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Jenner
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
49.0% (261)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
57.1% (42)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
47.1% (51)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Jenner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Jenner shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Jenner
Foligno
Home
51.0% (143)
48.9% (178)
Away
49.2% (124)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Jenner
Foligno
P1
51.7%
40.4%
P2
40.5%
55.8%
P3
57.3%
51.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 15:33 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:50 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |