Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Getzlaf 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 56.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 60.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 51.9%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Jenner
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Jenner
Getzlaf
Last 6: Jenner 4-2 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Jenner
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
50.6% (1,060)
-1.5%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
48.3% (118)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
54.9% (71)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Getzlaf has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Jenner is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Jenner shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Jenner
Getzlaf
Home
55.8% (138)
51.9% (622)
Away
44.0% (168)
49.3% (627)
By Period
Jenner
Getzlaf
P1
53.8%
49.4%
P2
47.2%
53.1%
P3
48.0%
50.5%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 18:17 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 04:07 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |