Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Jenner wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 50.1% vs Hartman 45.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Jenner
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jenner
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Jenner
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (227)
44.8% (830)
+5.0%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
47.8% (92)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
37.5% (16)
+15.4%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Jenner is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Jenner shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Jenner
Hartman
Home
51.0% (143)
45.0% (515)
Away
49.2% (124)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Jenner
Hartman
P1
51.7%
46.5%
P2
40.5%
39.9%
P3
57.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |