Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 64.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 62.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 62.8%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Jenner
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Jenner
Kesler
Last 10: Jenner 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Jenner
Kesler
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
4
Jenner
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
6
Jenner
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
56.4% (8,095)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Jenner
Kesler
Home
54.5% (4,051)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Jenner
Kesler
P1
53.7%
56.5%
P2
53.5%
55.9%
P3
54.4%
56.1%
OT
54.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 14:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 12:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |