Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Gionta 41.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 70.6%
Defensive zone
Gionta 52.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 53.1%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Jenner
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Jenner
Gionta
Last 6: Jenner 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
2
1
Jenner
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Jenner
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
40.6% (1,902)
+13.9%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
61.5% (26)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
40.1% (292)
+8.3%
On even strength, Jenner has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Jenner is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,155).
Jenner shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Jenner
Gionta
Home
54.5% (4,051)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Jenner
Gionta
P1
53.7%
40.8%
P2
53.5%
41.8%
P3
54.4%
39.8%
OT
54.5%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |