Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.7% vs Oshie 50.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 50.7%
Defensive zone
Jenner 96.2%
Neutral zone
Jenner 85.2%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Jenner
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Jenner
Oshie
Last 5: Jenner 5-0 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Oshie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Oshie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
1
0
Jenner
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (861)
51.7% (58)
+5.6%
Power Play
52.6% (135)
49.1% (169)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (170)
54.5% (11)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Jenner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Jenner shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Jenner
Oshie
Home
54.8% (586)
51.3% (113)
Away
55.5% (580)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Jenner
Oshie
P1
57.3%
53.8%
P2
52.5%
47.5%
P3
55.9%
51.2%
OT
54.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | OT | 02:18 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |