Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Nelson 48.3% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Gordon leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 96.0%
Neutral zone
Gordon 71.6%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Gordon
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Gordon
Nelson
Last 10: Gordon 6-4 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
4
Gordon
Nelson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
0
Gordon
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
47.9% (9,695)
+10.5%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
54.5% (1,132)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
43.8% (783)
+8.7%
On even strength, Gordon has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Home / Away
Gordon
Nelson
Home
58.3% (3,125)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Gordon
Nelson
P1
57.5%
48.7%
P2
56.8%
48.5%
P3
57.0%
47.7%
OT
40.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
59.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |