Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Nelson 43.7% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 62.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 92.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 90.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Gordon
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gordon
Nelson
Last 5: Gordon 4-1 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Gordon
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
4
0
Gordon
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
42.1% (385)
+17.4%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
47.5% (40)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
38.5% (26)
+6.6%
On power play, Gordon has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Nelson is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Gordon
Nelson
Home
58.7% (692)
43.8% (224)
Away
54.6% (800)
41.0% (227)
By Period
Gordon
Nelson
P1
57.4%
48.1%
P2
55.2%
38.4%
P3
57.8%
39.2%
OT
28.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
59.8%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |