Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Fraser shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Fraser 46.7% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 82.4%
Defensive zone
Gordon 98.5%
Neutral zone
Gordon 92.1%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 92.1%
92.1%
7.9%
Gordon
Fraser
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
0
(8 meetings)
8
0
Gordon
Fraser
Last 8: Gordon 8-0 Fraser
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Fraser
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Fraser
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Fraser
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Fraser
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
48.0% (1,036)
+10.4%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
58.3% (36)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
35.8% (187)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fraser shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Fraser is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Gordon
Fraser
Home
58.3% (3,125)
48.6% (661)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
44.0% (602)
By Period
Gordon
Fraser
P1
57.5%
46.7%
P2
56.8%
46.4%
P3
57.0%
46.2%
OT
40.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.1%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |