Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Wilson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Wilson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Wilson 48.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wilson 90.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 62.3%
Neutral zone
Wilson 68.1%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Gordon
Wilson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gordon
Wilson
Last 8: Gordon 3-5 Wilson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
3
Gordon
Wilson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Wilson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wilson
1
2
Gordon
Wilson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
47.1% (312)
+12.4%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
63.3% (30)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
0.0% (1)
+45.1%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Wilson is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Gordon
Wilson
Home
58.7% (692)
44.4% (160)
Away
54.6% (800)
51.9% (183)
By Period
Gordon
Wilson
P1
57.4%
49.2%
P2
55.2%
45.1%
P3
57.8%
50.6%
OT
28.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
59.8%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:09 | Offensive | Colin Wilson |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |