Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Emmerton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Emmerton 47.8% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 73.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 90.7%
Neutral zone
Gordon 55.7%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Gordon
Emmerton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gordon
Emmerton
Last 8: Gordon 4-4 Emmerton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
3
Gordon
Emmerton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
1
Gordon
Emmerton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Emmerton
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
47.1% (764)
+11.3%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
45.5% (11)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
52.5% (59)
+0.0%
On power play, Gordon has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Emmerton shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Gordon
Emmerton
Home
58.3% (3,125)
47.2% (453)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
47.8% (381)
By Period
Gordon
Emmerton
P1
57.5%
45.4%
P2
56.8%
48.5%
P3
57.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 17:36 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 22, 2013 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Cory Emmerton |