Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Heatley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Heatley 48.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Heatley 65.6%
Defensive zone
Gordon 95.2%
Neutral zone
Gordon 77.0%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Gordon
Heatley
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gordon
Heatley
Last 7: Gordon 4-3 Heatley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Heatley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gordon
Heatley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Heatley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Heatley
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
48.5% (97)
+9.9%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
40.6% (32)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
66.7% (6)
-14.2%
On power play, Gordon has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Heatley shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Heatley is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Gordon
Heatley
Home
58.3% (3,125)
50.0% (78)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
43.9% (57)
By Period
Gordon
Heatley
P1
57.5%
55.6%
P2
56.8%
38.8%
P3
57.0%
45.2%
OT
40.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Heatley
38.0%▼
47.4%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Dany Heatley |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Dany Heatley |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Dany Heatley |