Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Heatley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Heatley 47.3% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 51.2%
Defensive zone
Gordon 92.3%
Neutral zone
Gordon 71.3%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Gordon
Heatley
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gordon
Heatley
Last 5: Gordon 3-2 Heatley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Heatley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Heatley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Heatley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Heatley
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
38.1% (21)
+19.7%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
40.0% (10)
+33.7%
On power play, Gordon has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Heatley shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. Heatley is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Gordon
Heatley
Home
60.3% (383)
37.5% (16)
Away
54.4% (406)
40.0% (15)
By Period
Gordon
Heatley
P1
58.4%
30.8%
P2
56.9%
50.0%
P3
58.8%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Heatley
38.0%▼
47.4%
38.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Dany Heatley |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Dany Heatley |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 08:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |