Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Stepan 44.5% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 70.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 97.2%
Neutral zone
Gordon 93.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Gordon
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Gordon
Stepan
Last 6: Gordon 5-1 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Gordon
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
0
Gordon
Stepan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
43.5% (942)
+14.7%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
48.1% (162)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
43.0% (128)
+8.1%
On even strength, Gordon has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Gordon is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Gordon shoots right. Stepan is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Gordon
Stepan
Home
58.4% (586)
45.6% (629)
Away
53.6% (632)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Gordon
Stepan
P1
55.8%
44.7%
P2
58.1%
43.7%
P3
53.3%
43.9%
OT
68.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 18:22 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 3 | 10:56 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 9, 2014 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |