Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.3% vs Brassard 45.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 83.1%
Defensive zone
Brassard 54.0%
Neutral zone
Brassard 66.7%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Gordon
Brassard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gordon
Brassard
Last 8: Gordon 3-5 Brassard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
1
3
Gordon
Brassard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gordon
Brassard
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (854)
45.1% (530)
+11.8%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
48.3% (58)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
56.6% (290)
50.0% (22)
+6.6%
On power play, Gordon has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Gordon is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Gordon shoots right. Brassard is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Gordon
Brassard
Home
55.6% (595)
45.4% (284)
Away
58.1% (582)
44.7% (333)
By Period
Gordon
Brassard
P1
57.5%
51.2%
P2
59.8%
40.3%
P3
53.9%
43.2%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 3, 2012 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 15:00 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 03:45 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |