Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Staal 52.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 92.6%
Neutral zone
Gordon 82.9%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Gordon
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gordon
Staal
Last 5: Gordon 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Gordon
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
52.7% (713)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.1% (105)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
41.7% (24)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gordon is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Gordon shoots right. Staal is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Gordon
Staal
Home
60.5% (451)
56.0% (414)
Away
55.2% (458)
50.0% (428)
By Period
Gordon
Staal
P1
57.7%
49.0%
P2
55.5%
56.3%
P3
60.5%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
62.8%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 16:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |