Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.1%). Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings). Gordon wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Thornton 55.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 27-13 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 90.3%
Defensive zone
Gordon 55.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 65.9%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Gordon
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
27
(40 meetings)
13
27
Gordon
Thornton
Last 10: Gordon 3-7 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
16
Gordon
Thornton
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
2
Gordon
Thornton
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
9
Gordon
Thornton
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
55.1% (836)
+4.4%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
60.8% (181)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
56.1% (82)
-11.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Gordon is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (971).
Gordon shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Gordon
Thornton
Home
58.7% (692)
60.4% (528)
Away
54.6% (800)
52.2% (571)
By Period
Gordon
Thornton
P1
57.4%
58.1%
P2
55.2%
55.3%
P3
57.8%
55.0%
OT
28.6%
55.2%
Final 5 min
59.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 13:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |