Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Mitchell 49.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 80.3%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 81.2%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 68.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Gordon
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gordon
Mitchell
Last 5: Gordon 1-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Gordon
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Gordon
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
52.5% (676)
+6.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
55.6% (18)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
32.3% (155)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Gordon is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Gordon shoots right. Mitchell is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Gordon
Mitchell
Home
60.5% (451)
52.2% (450)
Away
55.2% (458)
45.1% (399)
By Period
Gordon
Mitchell
P1
57.7%
51.2%
P2
55.5%
50.2%
P3
60.5%
44.8%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | John Mitchell |