Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 58.6%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Toews 58.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 78.8%
Defensive zone
Gordon 76.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Gordon
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Gordon
Toews
Last 7: Gordon 1-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Gordon
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Gordon
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
58.2% (1,200)
+1.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.8% (250)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
53.7% (123)
+1.1%
On power play, Gordon has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Gordon is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Gordon shoots right. Toews is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Gordon
Toews
Home
60.5% (451)
59.8% (805)
Away
55.2% (458)
57.3% (768)
By Period
Gordon
Toews
P1
57.7%
60.2%
P2
55.5%
60.7%
P3
60.5%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
44.8%
Final 5 min
62.8%
61.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2016 | OT | 01:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:43 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |