Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 77.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 77.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Gordon
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Gordon
Staal
Last 10: Gordon 1-9 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
11
Gordon
Staal
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
7
3
Gordon
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
3
Gordon
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
55.9% (14,620)
+2.5%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
62.7% (1,745)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
48.0% (2,896)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Gordon
Staal
Home
58.3% (3,125)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Gordon
Staal
P1
57.5%
55.2%
P2
56.8%
55.9%
P3
57.0%
54.9%
OT
40.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
59.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2015 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 10:10 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |